Skip to content

Evaluation & Impact

We measure real impact using experiments or rigorous causal methods, on new data or data you already hold. Best of all, we build the evaluation in from day one.

Typical questions

“Did it change outcomes? For whom, and why? What should we keep, fix or stop?”

For: A programme, policy, product or funded project that is running, finished, or about to start.

What we do

  • Design the evaluation, from rapid tests to fully powered experiments and quasi-experimental designs.
  • Build counterfactuals that hold up, separating real impact from noise, seasonality and structural change.
  • Set up indicators, data pipelines and dashboards so you can monitor progress as it happens.
  • Quantify economic and social value, including distributional effects and spillovers.
  • Report clearly: what worked, what did not, for whom, and what it means for the next decision.

Methods we draw on

  • Randomised controlled trials
  • Difference-in-differences
  • Regression discontinuity
  • Synthetic control
  • Monitoring and evaluation frameworks
  • Cost-benefit analysis
  • Mixed methods

What you receive

  • A credible estimate of impact, and who benefited
  • Why it worked or did not, with clear recommendations
  • A report built to satisfy funders, auditors and the European Commission
  • Ex ante assessments to inform decisions between alternative options

When to call us

  1. Before decisions

    Assess needs, feasibility and likely impact.

  2. Before launch

    Design evaluation into delivery.

  3. During

    Course correct.

  4. After

    Prove impact.

Our methods

  • Randomised trials
  • Natural experiments and staggered rollouts
  • Comparison groups built from existing data
  • Qualitative work to explain why
  • Evidence reviews and theory of change
  • Options appraisal, forecasting and scenario modelling
  • Cost-benefit and cost-effectiveness analysis
  • Behavioural diagnostics, prototyping and pre-testing

For EU programmes and consortia

The evaluation work package, from proposal to final report.

Timeline

Timeline
PlaceholderTypical duration to confirm

Example

PlaceholderA real Evaluation & Impact engagement

Also from Ethos Lab

  • Research & Design

    Find out what will work before you spend the budget.

    Explore Research & Design

  • Scale up

    Take what works further, and make it last.

    Explore Scale up

What do you need to know?

Tell us about the decision in front of you, the idea you want to test or the programme you need to evaluate. We will reply within two working days with an honest view of what we could find out.

Start a conversation

Search